Regulation Roadmap Q2 2026

Q2 2026 brings key regulatory deadlines into force, including updated Financial Conduct Authority safeguarding rules, payment account termination requirements, and ISO 20022 timelines for CHAPS and RTGS. BNPL, stablecoins, and Competition and Markets Authority oversight of agentic AI signal further expansion beyond traditional payments.

Introduction

About the roadmap

This regulation roadmap by The Payments Association provides a forward-looking view of key legal and regulatory developments shaping the financial services and payments landscape. It brings together major initiatives across the UK, EU and other relevant jurisdictions, highlighting both confirmed reforms and emerging policy direction.

The roadmap is designed to help firms identify what is changing, when it is expected to happen, and where regulatory focus is likely to intensify. It covers a broad range of topics, including payments, cryptoassets, prudential regulation, consumer protection, data and digital innovation, and financial market infrastructure.

Rather than a comprehensive statement of all regulatory change, the roadmap focuses on developments most likely to affect firms’ strategy, compliance and operational planning. It draws on primary legislation, regulatory publications, consultations and supervisory signals to provide a structured view of the evolving landscape.

Timelines and key dates are included where available. In some cases, these reflect indicative or expected milestones rather than fixed deadlines, particularly where reforms are still under consultation or subject to legislative change.

Timeline

A timeline of key regulatory milestones and expected developments shaping the financial services landscape.

Recent and immediate developments: Q2 2026

Q2 2026 introduces key deadlines across safeguarding, capital, and payment account protections as Financial Conduct Authority reforms take effect. ISO 20022 progresses with April’s final change requests, and redress modernisation adds new compliance focus areas.

FCA Regulatory Priorities: Payments

The FCA’s Regulatory Priorities: Payments report replaces the previous Dear CEO letter format and is now published annually as a sector-wide document directed at all firms authorised or registered under the Payment Services Regulations 2017 and the Electronic Money Regulations 2011. It is explicitly addressed to boards and chief executives, and sets out what the FCA expects firms to do and what it will do itself across four priority areas: preparing for the future (innovation, open banking, stablecoins, modernising regulation); Consumer Duty implementation; financial system integrity (AML, fraud, operational resilience); and safeguarding.

The report functions as the FCA’s clearest statement of supervisory intent for the year. It signals where the FCA will focus its scrutiny and enforcement activity, which means it should directly inform firms’ internal compliance programmes, board reporting, and risk prioritisation. It sets out four priority areas:

  1. Preparing for the future to support effective competition, innovation and growth
  2. Ensuring firms implement the Consumer Duty effectively
  3. Protecting financial system integrity
  4. Keeping customers’ money safe

Possibly the most pointed signal is the FCA expecting an increase in adverse audit opinions following its new Supplementary Regime coming into force in May 2026.

Notably, the document references the Payments Forward Plan as the companion piece for regulatory timelines, positioning these two publications together as the primary reading for any firm mapping its regulatory obligations for 2026 and beyond.

 

Legal issue/risk
  • N/a
  • Board-level review against the four priority areas; confirm safeguarding readiness ahead of May; review FCA good and poor practice publications cited in the report; consider engagement with FCA policy sprints on stablecoins and open banking.

Payments Forward Plan

The Payments Forward Plan, published jointly by HM Treasury, the Bank of England, the FCA and the Payment Systems Regulator, sets out a coordinated three-year regulatory pipeline for UK payments. Building on the National Payments Vision, it provides a consolidated view of planned policy and regulatory activity across retail and wholesale payments and digital assets.

Rather than a single reform, the Plan maps what is coming and when. It sequences activity across key workstreams, including the FCA’s safeguarding regime (May 2026), open banking, stablecoins, BNPL, RTGS settlement hours and the digital pound. It also reflects efforts to manage industry capacity and reduce overlap, including the planned consolidation of the PSR into the FCA.

Key dates

  • May 2026: FCA safeguarding supplementary regime (dedicated section below)
  • 2026: Open Banking long-term regulatory framework; BNPL and stablecoin developments
  • H2 2027: RTGS settlement hours extension (target)
  • 2027: UK crypto regime go-live
    Ongoing: Digital pound design phase and related policy work
Legal issue/risk
  • Emerging regulatory risk: the Plan signals upcoming reforms across payments, crypto, safeguarding and open banking, requiring firms to anticipate and prepare for future compliance obligations.
  • Review the full plan against your firm’s product and compliance roadmap
  • Identify workstreams where you have a material interest and flag upcoming consultation windows for response

FCA Open Finance Roadmap – Vision for a Smart Data Future (April 2026)

The FCA has published its open finance roadmap, setting out a path to develop open finance in the UK through to 2030. Building on open banking’s foundations, open finance would extend secure, consent-based data sharing across a much wider range of financial products and services, including mortgages, SME lending, insurance, pensions, savings and investments, giving consumers and businesses greater control over their financial data.

The FCA’s approach is structured in three phases: 2026 focuses on collaboration and prioritisation, with TechSprints, a PolicySprint, and the development of a Prioritisation and Real-world Insights Selection Matrix (PRISM); 2027 moves into regulatory design and coordination with HM Treasury; and 2028–2030 targets scaling through the launch of open finance schemes. Priority use cases identified are SME lending and mortgages. The FCA is clear that where industry-led progress stalls, regulatory intervention may follow. Firms should treat this as an early signal of the direction of travel, particularly around data sharing obligations, consent frameworks, and infrastructure investment.

Key dates 

  • Q2 2026: FCA PolicySprint to build consensus on priority use cases and framework needs

  • Q3 2026: PRISM taskforce report published, identifying impacts of use cases on consumers, competition and innovation

  • Q4 2026: Further TechSprint outcomes report published; FCA discussion paper on delivering a framework for the first open finance scheme

  • H1 2027: FCA discussion paper on long-term regulatory framework published

  • H2 2027: FCA works with HM Treasury on options for a regulatory framework

  • 2028–2030: Open finance schemes developed and launched on a rolling basis

Legal issue/risk
  • Firms holding customer data across mortgages, lending, insurance or investments may face future obligations to share that data via open finance APIs, with associated liability and security implications
  • Consumer Duty obligations are relevant now: firms should consider how open finance intersects with their existing duties around fair value, consumer understanding and support
  • Monitor and engage with the Q2 PolicySprint and Q4 discussion paper processes; these are the primary opportunities to shape the regulatory framework before rules are drafted
  • Begin internal scoping of data assets and infrastructure that may be in scope of future open finance obligations, particularly across SME lending, mortgages and savings products
  • Review Consumer Duty frameworks for compatibility with open finance data-sharing expectations, particularly around consent, data accuracy and vulnerability identification

ISO 20022 Change Management – November 2026 (Payment System Operators)

The Bank of England has confirmed the scope of ISO 20022 schema changes for the November 2026 CHAPS, RTGS and net settlement release, based on updates published in December 2025. The changes affect the XSD schemas used for Swift validation of payment messages.

The 2026 scope is narrower than earlier proposals, focusing on corrections, updates and targeted additions to align with international standards such as CBPR+ and HVPS+. Each change is categorised by Swift impact and mapped to specific message types to support firm-level impact assessment.

Following industry feedback, the Bank has reduced scope. Proposed changes to pacs.029, camt.053 and camt.054 have been deferred to a future backlog, with greater transparency provided on items not proceeding.

The Bank expects a broader ISO 20022 base message upgrade in November 2027.

Key dates 

  • April 2026: final change list to be published
  • November 2026: changes take effect
Legal issue/risk
  • Mandatory interoperability-driven schema changes remain binding and require timely implementation
  • Update internal implementation plans to reflect the 2026 scope

PS25/14: Definition of capital for FCA investment firms

PS25/14 sets out the FCA’s final rules to simplify and consolidate the definition of regulatory capital (“own funds”) for FCA investment firms under MIFIDPRU 3, following consultation CP25/10. The policy removes all remaining cross-references to the UK Capital Requirements Regulation (UK CRR) and establishes a standalone, self-contained definition of capital within the FCA Handbook, tailored specifically to investment firms rather than banks.

Importantly, the changes are structural and clarificatory, not substantive. The FCA is not increasing capital requirements or requiring firms to change their capital structures. Instead, the reforms aim to reduce complexity, improve clarity and accessibility, and remove banking-specific provisions that are no longer relevant to investment firms. All capital definitions are now located in a single MIFIDPRU chapter, with clearer distinctions between CET1, AT1, and Tier 2 capital.

The policy forms part of the FCA’s broader programme to modernise and simplify the Investment Firms Prudential Regime (IFPR), delivering on commitments made in PS21/6. It also aligns with the Government’s wider regulatory reform agenda, including the Leeds Reforms and Mansion House commitments to streamline regulation while maintaining prudential resilience. The FCA positions these changes as the first phase in a longer-term vision for an integrated prudential sourcebook (COREPRU).

Key dates

  • 1 April 2026: The new rules come into effect 
Legal issue/risk
  • While firms are not expected to alter their capital arrangements, they will need to update internal documentation and references to reflect the new standalone framework
  • Risk of misapplication or misreporting if firms fail to update internal policies and regulatory references from UK CRR to MIFIDPR
  • Review capital policies, templates and regulatory reporting references against the new MIFIDPRU 3 structure
  • Update internal documentation, governance materials, and compliance manuals to reflect the standalone own funds definition

Payment Services and Payment Accounts (Contract Termination) (Amendment) Regulations 2025

The regulations amend the Payment Accounts Regulations 2015 and Payment Services Regulations 2017 to strengthen transparency around account refusals and terminations, in response to concerns about “debanking”. Made under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2023, they come into force on 28 April 2026.

For payment accounts, designated credit institutions must give clear reasons for refusals or termination, unless unlawful, and inform customers of their right to complain to the Financial Ombudsman Service.

For payment services, new rules distinguish contracts entered into before and from 28 April 2026. For new contracts, firms must generally give at least 90 days’ notice of termination, with reasons and complaints information.

Exceptions apply where notice is not required, including cases involving financial crime, immigration, public order, or regulatory direction.

Key date

  • 28 April 2026: Regulations come into force
Legal issue/risk
  • Increased litigation and complaints risk if termination reasons are not “sufficiently detailed and specific”
  • Operational risk in correctly applying notice periods based on contract start data
  • Review and update termination and refusal policies, templates, and customer communications
  • Ensure systems can distinguish contracts entered into pre- and post-28 April 2026

PS25/12 The Supplementary Regime - FCA changes to payment safeguarding rules

The FCA’s supplementary safeguarding regime strengthens governance, record-keeping, monitoring and audit requirements, moving closer to CASS standards while stopping short of a statutory trust model.

PS25/12 follows CP24/20, which identified significant weaknesses, with only 35% of client funds returned in insolvencies between 2018 and 2023.

Key changes include daily reconciliations (including D+1 internal checks), CASS-style resolution packs, annual audits by Companies Act-qualified auditors (with a small firm exemption), and monthly regulatory returns. Firms using insurance or guarantees must plan to move to segregation if cover cannot be renewed.

The FRC has issued interim guidance (March 2026) for safeguarding audits, pending a full standard expected in 2027. Transitional flexibilities include extended reporting deadlines and the option of hybrid or separate audit opinions.

The FCA sees this as a step towards a fuller regime, potentially including statutory trusts, although no timeline is set.

Key dates

  • 7 May 2026: rules take effect
Legal issue/risk
  • Significant compliance and operational workload increse (daily reconciliations, resolution packs, monthly returns)
  • Audit capacity and cost risk; reliance on a limited pool of qualified auditors
  • Conduct a rules review and gap analysis against PS25/12
  • Implement or upgrade automated daily reconciliation and record-keeping systems
  • Prepare and maintain a resolution pack; perform third-party due diligence
  • Appoint a Companies Act-qualified safeguarding auditor (if in scope) and plan first audit

CP26/9: Modernising the redress system

The FCA and the Financial Ombudsman have published CP26/9, following CP25/22, setting out proposals to modernise the redress framework within the current legislative perimeter. The Government has confirmed it will legislate for wider reform when Parliamentary time allows.

The existing regime is seen as creating uncertainty, particularly around complaint handling, mass redress events and consistency of decisions. The proposals focus on earlier identification of harm, clearer expectations on proactive redress, and closer FCA–Ombudsman coordination.

Measures include guidance on when firms should notify the FCA of systemic issues, expectations for proactive redress, operational changes at the Financial Ombudsman and FSCS, a new complaint registration stage, revised dismissal grounds, and changes to the “fair and reasonable” test to anchor decisions to standards at the time of conduct.

The reforms aim to deliver faster, more predictable outcomes, reduce weak complaints, and support growth and competitiveness.

Key dates

  • 11 May 2026: consultation closes

  • 2026: further joint policy statement expected

Legal issue/risk
  • Greater regulatory scrutiny of firms’ proactive redress obligations and earlier notification of systemic issues
  • Increased exposure for firms if failures to identify or report MREs are viewed as non-compliance
  • Review proposals on proactive redress, SUP 15 notifications, and MRE identification criteria
  • Assess impacts on complaints handling, governance, and record-keeping frameworks

FCA cryptoasset webinars

The FCA is running a programme of webinars to help firms prepare for the new cryptoasset regulatory regime, due to come into force on 25 October 2027. Each session includes a live Q&A with FCA authorisations experts and is aimed at firms currently registered for cryptoasset activities, firms not yet registered (including those accessing the UK market via a section 21 financial promotions approver), and payments and e-money firms that may need FSMA authorisation. Links to the webinars can be found below:

Legal issue/risk

Short to medium-term impact

H2 2026 brings tighter oversight across capital, BNPL, and stablecoins, alongside operational pressure from settlement and misconduct rules. Competition and Markets Authority and Department for Science, Innovation and Technology activity signals the start of formal AI regulation.

Proposed regulatory regime for sterling-denominated systemic stablecoins

On 10 November 2025, the Bank of England (BoE) published a landmark consultation paper (CP) setting out its proposed prudential and supervisory framework for sterling-denominated systemic stablecoins, building on its November 2023 discussion paper and subsequent industry engagement.

Systemic stablecoins are those whose scale of use in payments may pose risks to UK financial stability, as determined by HM Treasury. Once recognised under the Banking Act 2009, they will be subject to dual regulation: the BoE for prudential and financial stability matters, and the FCA for conduct, consumer protection and competition. Non-systemic stablecoins will remain subject to FCA-only regulation.

The consultation also signals the development of detailed Codes of Practice, expected in 2026, and is accompanied by a Financial Stability Paper on holding limits. A joint BoE/FCA approach document is likewise expected in 2026 to clarify how the two regulators’ remits will operate in practice.

Key dates

  • H2 2026: BoE to consult and publish on detailed Codes of Practice. BoE and FCA to publish joint approach document clarifying how respective remits apply in practice. BoE to set out specific supervisory approach for systemic stablecoin issuers.
Legal issue/risk
  • Scope uncertainty: The statutory test for HMT recognition is outcomes-focused rather than threshold-based, with the BoE applying a case-by-case judgement on systemic designation
  • Transition risk: Issuers moving from the FCA’s non-systemic regime to joint BoE/FCA oversight face regulatory complexity and capital step-changes. This may deter scaling in the UK market until the transition pathway is better defined in the Codes of Practice
  • Dual-regulation compliance: Systemic issuers will be subject to both the BoE’s prudential requirements and the FCA’s conduct/consumer protection rules simultaneously. The BoE/FCA joint approach document (expected H2 2026) will be critical in clarifying where remits overlap or conflict
  • Watch the BoE/FCA joint approach document: Expected in H2 2026, this will clarify how the dual BoE/FCA framework applies in practice, relevant to any firm transacting with, or accepting, a systemically-designated stablecoin.
  • Corporate treasury: The proposed £10 million business holding limit (subject to exceptions for operational need) has direct implications for firms holding stablecoins for liquidity or settlement purposes. Monitor how exceptions will be defined in the Codes of Practice.
  • Payments and merchant firms: Assess whether stablecoins you accept or integrate with may become subject to HMT systemic recognition, which would change the counterparty’s regulatory status and potentially affect your own obligations and due diligence requirements.
  • Engage with Digital Securities Sandbox: The BoE is exploring the role of systemic stablecoins as wholesale settlement assets via the Digital Securities Sandbox—a relevant channel for firms active in tokenised financial markets.

Regulating buy now pay later (BNPL)

The FCA has published PS26/1: Regulation of Deferred Payment Credit (unregulated Buy Now Pay Later), bringing unregulated Buy Now Pay Later products into scope following CP25/23. The final rules largely reflect the consultation proposals, with minor clarifications.

DPC lenders will be required to carry out proportionate creditworthiness assessments for each agreement, provide key product information at the point of sale, and offer forbearance and support to customers in financial difficulty. Most existing Consumer Credit Sourcebook (CONC) rules will apply, alongside new requirements on missed payment notifications and signposting to free debt advice. Complaints will fall within DISP, with the Financial Ombudsman Service’s compulsory jurisdiction extended to DPC.

Firms without the necessary consumer credit permissions must enter the Temporary Permissions Regime (TPR). Merchants that broker DPC agreements remain exempt.

Key dates

  • 15 May 2026: Temporary Permissions Regime (TPR) registration opens
  • 15 July 2026: DPC regime comes into force
Legal issue/risk
  • Firms not currently authorised face criminal liability if they fail to register for the TPR ahead of 15 July 2026
  • Review final rules against existing systems and controls; initiate TPR notification process if not currently authorised; engage FCA pre-application support if needed.

PS25/23 Tackling non-financial misconduct in financial services

The FCA’s December 2025 policy statement ‘Tackling non-financial misconduct in financial services sets out guidance on non-financial misconduct (NFM) in financial services, following consultation under CP25/18. The reforms amend the Code of Conduct (COCON) and clarify how NFM is assessed under the Fit and Proper (FIT) framework, aiming to improve consistency, certainty, and fairness in how firms address misconduct.

The reforms build on the FCA and Prudential Regulation Authority’s joint Discussion Paper (DP21/2, 2021) and the FCA’s September 2023 consultation (CP23/20). The FCA reports that its proposals received broad industry support, with 80% of authorised firms and 90% of trade bodies backing its approach.

The guidance responds to strong industry support (95% of respondents) for additional clarity, while emphasising that firms must continue to exercise judgement. The FCA stresses that its framework does not replace employment law, criminal law or internal disciplinary processes, nor does it create new routes for employee redress. Instead, it is intended to help firms take decisive, proportionate action where behaviour risks harming individuals, workplace culture, consumer outcomes or market integrity.

Key dates

  • 1 September 2026: new COCON rule takes effect
Legal issue/risk
  • Expanded COCON scope increases regulatory exposure for non-banks in relation to workplace misconduct
  • Risk of inconsistent application if firms lack robust frameworks for assessing NFM and fitness and propriety
  • Update internal conduct, HR, and disciplinary policies to reflect revised COCON and FIT guidance
  • Train managers, HR, and compliance teams on identifying and assessing NFM

Proposal to extend RT2 and CHAPS settlement hours (phase 1)

The Bank of England is consulting on Phase 1 of extending settlement hours for CHAPS on its renewed RTGS platform, RT2.

Following RT2’s go-live in April 2025 and strong industry support, it proposes opening settlement from 1.30 am on existing business days, ahead of the current 6 am start, as a step towards near-24×7 settlement later in the decade.

The proposal is intended to align UK settlement more closely with international systems, support G20 cross-border initiatives, reduce settlement risk, and enable innovation, including synchronisation and tokenisation, by extending access to central bank money. Implementation is targeted for H2 2027, subject to consultation feedback.

Participation in the 1.30 am–6 am window would be optional for CHAPS Direct Participants. All would receive payments from 1.30 am, but only those opting in could send them. The Bank proposes an “alert and respond” support model, with no active business support until 5.45 am, no changes to contingency arrangements, liquidity facilities or euro bridge timings, and intraday liquidity credited at 1.30 am but not amendable before 8 am.

Key dates

  • Early 2026: Planned policy statement on the 1.30 am opening for CHAPS
  • Early 2026: Phase 2 consultation covering evening contingency extensions and limited bank-holiday settlement
  • 2026: Policy statement covering the evening contingency extension and bank holiday settlement is expected later in the year
  • H2 2027: Aiming for implementation of the early morning extension (subject to consultation feedback and further work internally)
Legal issue/risk
  • Operational readiness and resilience risks for DPs choosing to participate early
  • Liquidity and treasury management impacts (IDL timing constraints)
  • Cost recovery and tariff implications remain to be determined
  • Engage with future Bank of England consultation papers through 2026
  • Assess business case and use cases for early settlement (cross-border flows, liquidity prep)
  • Evaluate people, process and systems changes needed to operate from 1.30am

Market risk capital requirements for FCA investment firms—engagement paper

The FCA published an engagement paper in December 2025 reviewing how market risk capital requirements are set for solo-regulated FCA investment firms that manage a trading book.

Current requirements derive from bank-focused Basel standards via the UK Capital Requirements Regulation (UK CRR), creating disproportionate burdens for specialised trading firms, particularly around hedging recognition.

The engagement paper explores seven possible approaches, ranging from amending the existing standardised K-NPR method, extending the margin-based K-CMG, reforming the internal models approach, to more novel methods such as a weighted liquid exposure methodology or adopting a net capital rule.

Key dates

  • 2026: FCA expected to publish consultation paper
Legal issue/risk
  • Pending further policy clarification
  • Respond to consultation paper when published

Open banking and the FCA

The FCA has published its strategic vision for the next phase of open banking in the UK, built around five goals: accessibility and consumer value; safety and security; scalability; interoperability, including cross-border; and competition and innovation. It notes that open banking now has over 16 million active users, with payments up 53% in 2025.

The immediate priority is to enable commercially sustainable account-to-account payments. However, the FCA’s ability to introduce binding rules depends on new legislative powers expected from HM Treasury in 2026. In the meantime, it is working with industry, building on agreed principles for variable recurring payments and recent work on open banking and open finance. The vision aligns with the National Payments Vision and the Strategy for Future Retail Payments Infrastructure.

Key dates

  • 2026: HM Treasury expected to legislate to give the FCA open banking rule-making powers
    Ongoing: industry engagement and development of a commercial framework for variable recurring payments
Legal issue/risk
  • No immediate binding obligations arise from this vision statement alone
  • Track HM Treasury’s legislative timetable for the new FCA open banking powers and assess operational readiness for potential rule changes
  • Engage with the FCA’s industry workstreams on VRPs and the Future Entity governance model, particularly if your firm participates in open banking as an ASPSP or TPP
  • Review the FCA’s five strategic goals against your current open banking proposition to identify gaps, particularly around consumer accessibility and fraud/financial crime controls

Agentic AI and Consumers–CMA Research and Analysis

The Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) has published research on how agentic AI may reshape consumer markets, with implications for payments and financial services.

Agentic AI refers to systems that can autonomously plan and act, breaking tasks into steps, using real-time data, executing transactions and retaining memory. The CMA distinguishes these from traditional automation by their autonomy, goal orientation, multi-step reasoning and cross-platform capability.

Use remains focused on business-facing applications, with consumer deployment still limited and human oversight common. However, investment is increasing, and the CMA expects a gradual shift towards more capable personal agents.

For payments firms, the most relevant development is agentic commerce: agents that monitor prices, switch providers, manage subscriptions and execute transactions within set parameters. This raises questions around instruction, authority, liability and safeguarding.

Key dates

  • 7 January 2026: DSIT AI regulation call for evidence closed; publication expected in 2026
  • TBC: DRCF joint report on agentic AI expected
Legal issue/risk

This is not currently a standalone regulatory obligation, but it carries material legal risk across several existing frameworks:

  • Consumer law (DMCCA 2024, CPRs): Liability for agent behaviour that misleads or harms consumers, including through opaque incentives, biased recommendations, or erroneous autonomous action
  • PSRs 2017 / PSD2: Delegated payment execution by an agent raises questions around authentication, authorisation, and liability for unauthorised or incorrectly executed transactions
  • FCA Consumer Duty: ‘Good outcomes’ obligations apply to AI-mediated customer journeys. Firms cannot discharge these obligations by attributing poor outcomes to autonomous system behaviour
  • Competition law: Firms deploying AI pricing agents must actively govern them to avoid facilitating coordinated outcomes, even absent explicit communication with competitors.
  • Data protection (UK GDPR): Agentic systems processing personal data at scale – including memory of past transactions and preferences – require robust lawful basis, transparency, and security measures. The ICO has flagged specific challenges around agentic AI accountability and privacy-by-design
  • Review the CMA’s published research and consumer protection guidance for businesses deploying agentic AI; assess applicability to current and planned AI-assisted customer journeys
  • Map any existing AI-assisted decisioning (fraud, pricing, onboarding, customer service) against the CMA’s accountability framework; identify gaps in human oversight and escalation processes
  • Engage legal/compliance teams to assess how delegated payment authority by an AI agent would interact with existing PSR authorisation and SCA frameworks

Department for Science, Innovation and Technology Artificial Intelligence Regulation

The government has confirmed its intention to legislate for artificial intelligence, but has not set a timetable. The FCA has welcomed the move and reiterated its commitment to a technology-agnostic, principles-based and outcomes-focused approach.

Rather than creating a new regulator, the government will rely on existing bodies, including the FCA, CMA, ICO, Ofcom and MHRA, to apply a common framework within their remits. This is built around five cross-sector principles: safety, security and robustness; transparency and explainability; fairness; accountability and governance; and contestability and redress.

Key dates

  • The government is yet to publish a timeline for AI regulation
Legal issue/risk
  • Sectoral regulators (FCA, PSR, CMA, ICO) are expected to interpret AI principles through existing obligations such as Consumer Duty, operational resilience, and data protection, creating overlapping compliance risks
  • Absence of clear statutory AI rules may result in inconsistent regulatory expectations across sectors
  • Lack of board-level oversight and defined SM&CR accountability for AI use could expose firms to enforcement action and governance failings
  • Use of opaque or biased AI models increases the risk of consumer harm, discrimination claims, and reputational damage
  • Implement AI model governance frameworks covering explainability, bias testing, and consumer redress processes for high-impact use cases such as fraud detection and credit scoring
  • Assign board-level oversight and SM&CR responsibility for AI deployment, with clear reporting lines
  • Develop an AI model register and maintain audit trails to evidence compliance with Consumer Duty, data protection, and operational resilience requirements
  • Build systems with flexibility to adapt to future statutory rules and international AI standards (e.g. EU AI Act), not just current UK principles

DRCF Foresight Paper: The Future of Agentic AI

The Digital Regulation Cooperation Forum (DRCF), comprising the FCA, CMA, ICO and Ofcom, has published a foresight paper on agentic AI.

While not a formal policy, it signals alignment on key risks and supervisory expectations. For payments firms, the FCA confirms that Consumer Duty applies to the use of agentic AI, alongside ICO data protection and CMA consumer law requirements.

The paper highlights governance, data minimisation, human oversight, cybersecurity and algorithmic collusion as the main risk areas. Financial services is identified as a sector where agentic AI is already in use across tool, assistant and operator levels.

Key dates

  • Summer 2026: FCA Mills Review report to Board on advanced AI and retail financial services
  • 2026/27: FCA/BoE AI and machine learning survey (fourth edition) expected
  • Q1 2027: FCA to publish evaluation report from AI Live Testing cohort 1
  • TBC: FCA to launch cohort 2 of AI Live Testing
  • Ongoing: ICO developing a statutory Code of Practice on AI and automated decision-making
Legal issue/risk
  • Consumer Duty (FCA): The FCA explicitly states that Consumer Duty already applies to financial services firms using agentic AI. Firms must demonstrate they are delivering good customer outcomes and monitoring for consumer harm, including where AI agents are involved in pricing, payments, customer service or triage.
  • Automated Decision-Making (ICO): Where agentic systems make or contribute to decisions with legal or significant effects on consumers, UK GDPR requirements for human oversight, transparency and explainability apply. Human involvement must be genuinely meaningful, not tokenistic
  • Data Minimisation (ICO): Agentic systems must only access personal data necessary for the specific task. Broad or unfettered data access would breach the data minimisation principle under UK GDPR.
  • Consumer Law (CMA): Consumer protection law applies regardless of whether decisions are made by humans or AI. The CMA’s guidance on AI agents covers transparency, fairness, accuracy of outputs, and unfair contractual terms. False or misleading statements about an agent’s capabilities may breach consumer protection law.
  • Cybersecurity: The FCA, ICO and Ofcom all have cybersecurity requirements that apply to firms deploying agentic systems. Prompt injection, expanded attack surfaces from broad data permissions, and Non-Human Identity risks are specifically flagged in the paper
  • Map existing and planned agentic AI deployments against FCA Consumer Duty obligations. Document how each deployment is designed to deliver good consumer outcomes, what monitoring is in place, and who holds accountability under the Senior Managers and Certification Regime
  • Review data access permissions for any AI or agentic systems. Apply the data minimisation principle — tiered access aligned to task requirements — and document the lawful basis for processing under UK GDPR
  • Monitor the FCA Mills Review (Summer 2026) and AI Live Testing evaluation reports for further regulatory direction on agentic AI in retail financial services

Future impact monitoring

Beyond 2026, the focus shifts to longer-term structural reform. The digital pound, the move to open finance, and changes to prudential and settlement frameworks will reshape payments architecture, despite uncertain timelines.

 

Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Cryptoassets) Regulations 2026

Published on 4 February 2026, the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Cryptoassets) Regulations 2026 establish a comprehensive FSMA-based regime for cryptoasset activities, following draft legislation laid before Parliament in December 2025.

The Regulations amend the Regulated Activities Order 2001 to define three categories: qualifying cryptoassets, qualifying stablecoins and specified investment cryptoassets. They also bring a range of activities into scope, including issuance, safeguarding, trading platform operation, dealing, arranging and staking, requiring FCA authorisation where carried on by way of business.

They introduce a market abuse regime covering insider dealing, unlawful disclosure and market manipulation, and restrict public offers of qualifying cryptoassets, with unauthorised offers constituting a criminal offence. Existing AML and financial promotions rules will be updated to reflect the new perimeter.

Key dates

  • 21 days post-publication: FCA rule-making powers take effect
  • 30 September 2026 to 28 February 2027: FCA application window
  • 25 October 2027: full regime commencement
Legal issue/risk
  • Carrying on newly designated cryptoasset activities without FCA authorisation will constitute a criminal offence under FSMA, exposing firms and individuals to prosecution, financial penalties, and reputational damage
  • Making a public offer of a qualifying cryptoasset outside a permitted exception is a criminal offence under the Regulations
  • Existing AML and financial promotions obligations are being updated to reflect the new perimeter; firms relying on current compliance frameworks may find these are no longer sufficient once the Regulations commence
  • The market abuse framework introduces new prohibitions on insider dealing and market manipulation in cryptoasset markets, creating fresh liability exposure for trading desks and issuers active in these markets
  • Map current cryptoasset activities against the newly defined regulated activities to identify whether FCA authorisation will be required
  • Monitor FCA rule-making closely. Given that rule-making powers come into force 21 days after publication, supervisory guidance and rules could emerge well ahead of the October 2027 commencement date
  • Begin preparing authorisation applications in advance of the application window opening on 30 September 2026, given the volume of firms expected to apply and the risk of being caught in a transitional limbo if authorisation is not secured in time
  • Review and update AML and financial promotions compliance frameworks to ensure alignment with the amended requirements under the new regulatory perimeter

Bank of England digital pound development

The Bank of England and HM Treasury continue to assess the case for a digital pound, with the design phase running through 2026. No decision has been taken.

A blueprint is due in 2026, setting out key design features to support a joint policy assessment. Phase 2 of the Digital Pound Lab is open, allowing firms to test use cases in a no-live-money environment, with findings feeding into the design process.

In July 2025, Governor Andrew Bailey signalled a more cautious stance, saying he would need “a lot of convincing” if existing payment systems continue to perform well. The policy direction remains open.

Key dates

  • 2026: Blueprint to support policy decision
  • Ongoing: Phase 2 Digital Pound Lab open
Legal issue/risk
  • Strategic uncertainty from the Bank’s cautious policy signals may delay investment decisions for firms planning CBDC-related services
  • Divergence between the UK and jurisdictions pressing ahead with retail CBDCs (e.g. the digital euro) could undermine cross-border interoperability and settlement efficiency
  • Risk of misallocated resources if firms deprioritise CBDC readiness but the UK later reactivates plans on an accelerated timeline following the blueprint assessment
  • Potential competitive disadvantage if tokenised deposit and stablecoin frameworks advance faster than a digital pound, creating path dependencies in payments infrastructure
  • Intermediary roles and scheme design remain unsettled; liability frameworks for Payment Interface Providers (PIPs) in a digital pound ecosystem are not yet defined
  • Monitor the 2026 blueprint publication and any joint Bank–HM Treasury statement on next steps – these will be the key triggers for reassessing digital pound readiness investment
  • Engage with Digital Pound Lab Phase 2 where relevant to test use cases and gain early visibility of infrastructure design and intermediary requirements

PS1/26—Implementation of Basel 3.1: Final rules

The PRA has finalised its Basel 3.1 rules, consolidating earlier policy statements and its response to CP17/25 on market risk. The package introduces more risk-sensitive standardised approaches to RWAs and an output floor to limit variability between firms using internal models. Implementation has been delayed by one year to January 2027, reflecting international timing and competitiveness concerns.

The FRTB internal model approach (IMA) is delayed further to 1 January 2028. Until then, firms may retain existing IMA permissions while applying the new Advanced Standardised Approach to out-of-scope positions. Other changes include simplified treatment of collective investment undertakings and a permissions regime for the residual risk add-on. The rules apply to PRA-authorised banks, building societies, designated investment firms and their holding companies.

Key dates

  • 1 January 2027: Basel 3.1 rules and reporting take effect
    1 January 2028: FRTB internal model approach takes effect
Legal issue/risk
  • Failure to meet the January 2027 implementation date exposes firms to regulatory breach and potential supervisory action by the PRA
  • Firms with existing IMA permissions must ensure positions outside the scope of those permissions are correctly capitalised under the ASA from January 2027
  • IRB permission amendments will be made by the PRA under s.144G FSMA 2000 — firms using FIRB/AIRB for income-producing real estate should confirm their approach ahead of implementation
  • Assess firm-level readiness for January 2027 go-live, including updates to capital models, reporting systems and internal governance
  • Engage with PRA supervisors if IMA permission changes, revocations, or amendments are anticipated ahead of the transition
  • Review the updated SS13/13 and relevant PRA Permissions webpage for guidance on RRAO applications and CIU treatment under the ASA
  • Begin planning for FRTB-IMA implementation ahead of the January 2028 deadline, noting that all firms must calculate the ASA in any case for the output floor

The Accelerated Settlement Taskforce T+1 settlement

The UK will move from a T+2 to a T+1 settlement cycle for securities transactions on 11 October 2027, requiring equities and bonds to settle within one business day and reducing counterparty risk. The Accelerated Settlement Taskforce, chaired by Andrew Douglas, is overseeing the transition, with the FCA and Bank of England as observers.

The move aligns with other major markets: the US, Canada, Mexico and Argentina adopted T+1 in May 2024, and the EU and Switzerland are targeting October 2027, reducing cross-border settlement risk.

Key dates

  • 11 October 2027: T+1 settlement goes live
Legal issue/risk
  • Higher settlement-fail rates and penalties if firms cannot meet the T+1 timetable under settlement discipline regimes
  • Contractual liability to counterparties for financial losses caused by delayed settlement
  • Breach of FCA rules on operational resilience, systems and controls, or conduct of business if firms are inadequately prepared
  • Legal and operational complexity from cross-border mismatches in timing or enforcement across the UK, EU, Switzerland, and North America
  • Increased risk of litigation and client disputes linked to failed or late settlement
  • Upgrade systems, processes, and counterparty arrangements to meet T+1 settlement timelines
  • Begin testing, budget planning, and staff training well ahead of the 2027 implementation date
  • Coordinate with custodians, brokers, and technology providers to ensure readiness and avoid settlement breaks
  • Align fund managers, distributors, and administrators for the shift of unit transactions to T+2
  • Prepare cross-border operating models for simultaneous adoption of T+1 in the UK, EU, and Switzerland, alongside established T+1 markets in North America

International

EU reforms, including PSD3, PSR, MiCA, the Digital Euro, and instant payments, raise regulatory standards, while the US GENIUS Act signals formal recognition in the core stablecoin market.

EU PSD3 & PSR – Proposed reforms to the EU payments framework

Following political agreement in November 2025, PSD3 and the PSR will significantly reshape the EU payments framework, moving beyond PSD2.

The package splits responsibilities: the PSR, as a Regulation, sets conduct, transparency, fraud liability and open banking rules, removing national divergence; PSD3, as a Directive, covers authorisation and supervision, integrating EMIs into the PI regime and repealing the Electronic Money Directive.

Key changes include mandatory payee name/IBAN verification, a shift in APP fraud liability towards PSPs, enhanced SCA accessibility, and more prescriptive open banking standards.

Key dates

  • H1 2026: final texts expected in the Official Journal
  • +6 months: Settlement Finality Directive amendments to be transposed
  • +18 months: PSR applies; PSD3 transposition deadline
  • +24 months: payee name/IBAN verification and liability rules apply
  • +24 months (extendable to 30): reauthorisation window for existing PIs/EMIs
Legal issue/risk
  • The shift of conduct rules from PSD2 into the directly applicable PSR removes member state transposition discretion on key obligations — firms operating cross-border can no longer rely on lighter national interpretations
  • The PSR’s impersonation fraud reimbursement regime and payee name/IBAN mismatch notification duty materially shift fraud loss allocation onto PSPs; failure to implement adequate controls or notify payers of discrepancies triggers direct liability
  • EMIs do not automatically retain existing authorisations: the 24-month grandfathering window requires timely submission of compliant re-authorisation applications; failure to submit within the window creates an authorisation gap
  • Gap analysis: Map current PSD2 obligations and national transposition artefacts against PSR requirements to identify areas where direct applicability closes gaps previously managed through lighter national implementations; prioritise fraud liability, SCA governance and open banking interface obligations
  • Initiate vendor assessment and technical build for payee name/IBAN verification capability ahead of the 24-month deadline. Legacy systems are unlikely to meet real-time requirements without material investment
  • Existing EMIs should begin preparing re-authorisation applications under the new “payment institution authorised to issue e-money” category, including updated governance documentation and DORA-aligned ICT and business continuity frameworks

The GENIUS Act

On 18 July 2025, President Donald Trump signed the (GENIUS) Act into law, establishing the first federal regime for payment stablecoins. It restricts issuance to licensed entities, with prudential, reserve and disclosure requirements.

The Act defines payment stablecoins as fully backed and redeemable at par, with segregation, audits and monthly certifications. It also clarifies their treatment under US law, distinguishing them from securities and commodities. Oversight will be shared across federal and state regulators, with a new interagency certification committee.

Foreign issuers may operate only where their home regime is deemed “substantially similar” and must hold reserves in the US.

Key dates:

  • 18 July 2025: Act signed into law
  • 18 January 2027 or 120 days after implementing rules (whichever is earlier): regime takes effect
Legal issue/risk
  • Issuers face stringent prudential, operational, and disclosure obligations; failure to comply risks licence revocation or enforcement
  • Market entry depends on OCC registration and, for foreign issuers, “substantially similar” home regulation plus US reserve custody — raising compliance costs and barriers to entry
  • Uncertainty over how “substantially similar” will be interpreted could delay or restrict non-US participation
  • Ongoing audit, reserve segregation, and certification requirements create liability for misreporting or control failures
  • Assess OCC registration requirements and prepare licence applications ahead of the 2027 effective date
  • Align custody arrangements to meet segregation and US-based reserve requirements
  • Build systems for monthly reserve certifications, independent audits, and ongoing disclosure obligations
  • For foreign issuers, evaluate whether the home regime is likely to be deemed “substantially similar” and plan for compliance or restructuring if not
  • Review accounting treatment and financial reporting to take advantage of clarified regulatory status

Digital Euro

The European Central Bank (ECB) and EU co-legislators are advancing plans for a retail digital euro, intended to complement cash and support a resilient, pan-European payments system.

In December 2025, the Council of the EU agreed its position on draft regulations covering the digital euro framework and the legal tender status of cash. The digital euro would be usable online and offline, offer strong privacy, and sit alongside private payment methods. Holding limits would apply to manage financial stability risks.

The framework also clarifies costs: core services must be free for consumers, while fees for value-added services are permitted. Interchange and merchant fees will be capped initially, and fair access to mobile infrastructure is required.

Final issuance will depend on legislative adoption and an ECB decision.

Key dates

  • 2026: EU expected to adopt digital euro legislation
  • 2029: earliest potential issuance, subject to ECB decision
Legal issue/risk
  • Potential overlap with existing instant payment and card infrastructures may lead to revenue displacement or cannibalisation of existing services
  • Strict privacy and data-protection requirements could impose additional compliance burdens
  • Divergence between the EU digital euro and potential UK digital pound or stablecoin regimes could create cross-border interoperability challenge
  • Monitor ECB pilot results and EU legislative progress to assess likely design and distribution models
  • Engage in industry consultations to influence compensation frameworks and technical standards
  • Conduct impact assessments on revenue models, customer demand, and operational requirements compared with current payment rails
  • Plan for interoperability testing with SEPA instant, card networks, and potential UK digital currency or stablecoin regime

EU Instant Payments Regulation (SEPA Instant)

The EU Instant Payments Regulation (IPR), adopted in March 2024, aims to drive uptake of euro instant credit transfers by making them the default. It responds to historically low adoption despite the SCT Inst scheme.

The Regulation requires PSPs offering standard euro credit transfers to also offer instant payments, with funds credited within 10 seconds, 24/7. Charges must not exceed those for standard transfers.

It also introduces safeguards, including mandatory Verification of Payee for all credit transfers and simplified sanctions screening, balancing speed with fraud and compliance risks.

Implementation is phased across institutions and jurisdictions.

Key dates

  • 9 January 2027: non-euro area PSPs to receive instant payments; equality of charges applies
  • 9 April 2027: euro area payment and e-money institutions to send and receive instant payments
  • 9 July 2027: non-euro area PSPs to send instant payments; Verification of Payee applies
Legal issue/risk
  • Mandatory Verification of Payee and daily sanctions screening increase data-quality requirements and exception-handling risks
  • Failure to deliver cost parity with standard transfers could expose firms to enforcement or consumer complaints
  • Direct access for non-bank PSPs to TARGET/TIPS intensifies competition, but also raises prudential and operational resilience expectations for new entrants
  • Cross-border interoperability and alignment with UK standards may create compliance complexity for UK groups operating in the EU
  • Upgrade infrastructure to deliver SEPA instant payments with cost parity to standard transfers
  • Implement Verification of Payee solutions and embed daily sanctions screening in line with the Eurosystem framework
  • Strengthen APP fraud monitoring and exception-handling processes to manage liability exposure
  • For UK firms with EU operations, prepare for staggered deadlines and ensure interoperability with SEPA Instant systems

Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA)

The EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) establishes a pan-European framework for cryptoasset issuance, custody, trading and marketing. It introduces licensing for cryptoasset service providers, disclosure requirements for issuers, prudential and conduct standards, and a dedicated regime for stablecoins.

Existing firms benefit from transitional arrangements, after which all CASPs must be authorised to operate. Member States may apply shorter transition periods.

Key dates

  • 30 December 2024: MiCA fully applies
  • 1 July 2026: grandfathering period ends; CASP authorisation required
Legal issue/risk
  • Firms operating without MiCA authorisation beyond July 2026 risk forced exit from EU markets and enforcement action
  • Exposure to new market-abuse prohibitions and stricter marketing and disclosure standards, with liability for misleading statements
  • Partner or outsourcing arrangements (custody, exchange, marketing) may create hidden perimeter risks if not aligned to MiCA obligations
  • Divergence between MiCA and UK crypto regulation could increase compliance complexity for cross-border groups
  • Undertake a MiCA perimeter review across issuance, custody, trading, and marketing activities to identify authorisation requirements
  • Prepare and submit authorisation applications with supporting governance, capital, and risk frameworks
  • Update white papers, disclosures, and marketing materials to meet MiCA standards

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